MX23RW : Sunday, May 25 22:49:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena
Wolfsberger

Sturm Graz
1 - 1
Wolfsberger

Boving (45+1')
Grgic (48'), Wuthrich (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ballo (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Wolfsberger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, May 18 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-2 Austria Vienna
Sunday, May 18 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Sturm Graz 3-1 Wolfsberger

An avoidance of defeat will bring a second straight Bundesliga title for Sturm Graz, who are targeting another campaign in the Champions League. Wolfsberger have already made history with their Austrian Cup success earlier in the month, and we feel that Saturday afternoon will prove one step too far for the underdogs in this thrilling title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Wolfsberger had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Wolfsberger win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
38.89% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 25.41% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.69% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)47.63% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)69.83% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.00099999999999056 0)24.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Wolfsberger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)60.9% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 38.89%
    Wolfsberger 35.69%
    Draw 25.41%
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 35.69%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Wolfsberger

Sturm Graz
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Wolfsberger
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2025 1.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsberger
1-1
Sturm Graz
Pink (3')
Schopf (53')
Horvat (72')
Gorenc Stankovic (55'), Johnston (78'), Johnston (78')
Feb 15, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 18
Wolfsberger
3-0
Sturm Graz
Zukic (17', 23'), Schopf (83')
Omic (58'), Gattermayer (74'), Gattermayer (81')

Kiteishvili (49'), Jasic (90+2'), Malic (90+2')
Sep 22, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sturm Graz
0-3
Wolfsberger

Karic (41'), Lavalee (77'), Gazibegovic (89')
Ballo (20'), Atanga (72'), Kojzek (90+5')
Nwaiwu (90+3')
Mar 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 21
Sturm Graz
4-0
Wolfsberger
Biereth (66'), Sarkaria (70'), Lavalee (85'), Affengruber (89')
Kiteishvili (2'), Gorenc Stankovic (27')

Altunashvili (55'), Zimmermann (58'), Bonmann (70'), Boakye (83'), Baumgartner (90+3')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
Wolfsberger
1-2
Sturm Graz
Dante (40' og.)
Leitgeb (3'), Altunashvili (64'), Scherzer (81')
Sarkaria (54'), Kiteishvili (59')
Hierlander (42'), Wuthrich (70'), Gorenc Stankovic (75'), Scherpen (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Sturm Graz32196766392740
2Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg32169753361738
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna32186847321537
4Wolfsberger32167960382237
5Rapid Vienna32128124342127
6BW Linz32115163745-821
Relegation Round
1LASK LinzLASK321661051361538
2Hartberg321111104040031
3Grazer AKGrazer32513143454-2020
4WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski3279163550-1520
5Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach32511162946-1718
6Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt3269173370-3716
 
Regular Season
1Sturm Graz22144451282346
2Austria ViennaAustria Vienna22144436191746
3Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg22108433221138
4Wolfsberger22113844301436
5Rapid Vienna229763224834
6BW Linz2210393029133
7LASK LinzLASK229493233-131
8Hartberg226882431-726
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt2256112244-2221
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski2247112031-1119
11Grazer AKGrazer2237122745-1816
12Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach2237122035-1516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!