We say: Charlton Athletic 2-1 Leyton Orient
After two unsuccessful Wembley trips, Jones will be hoping it's third time lucky at the national stadium, this time at the helm of Charlton.
Leyton Orient have done fantastically to make this match after sitting in the bottom four as recently as November, but we feel that the O's will fall just short of the Championship this weekend.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 46.77%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Leyton Orient has a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Leyton Orient win it is 0-1 (9.5%).