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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Charlton Athletic

Wrexham
3 - 0
Charlton

Rathbone (15'), Smith (18', 81')
Longman (45'), Smith (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Campbell (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 0-4 Charlton
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton Athletic head to the Racecourse Ground with plenty of momentum on the back of three straight wins, including Monday's thrashing of third-placed Wycombe, and they will look to keep any top-two hopes alive with another win. We see the hosts doing enough to at least share the points, though, leaving themselves and Wycombe Wanderers competing for second spot on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawCharlton Athletic
37.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.49% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.34%
Both teams to score 49.33% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66% (0.045000000000002 0.05)56.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (0.036999999999999 0.04)77.37% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)29.2% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.14% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.33% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.51% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 37.17%
    Charlton Athletic 35.33%
    Draw 27.49%
WrexhamDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.9%
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.85% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Charlton

Wrexham
46.7%
Draw
15.6%
Charlton Athletic
37.8%
45
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Charlton
2-2
Wrexham
Gillesphey (23'), Godden (90+7' pen.)
Edwards (28'), Leaburn (84'), Hylton (90')
Coventry (16' og.), Cannon (72')
Rathbone (53'), McClean (66'), Scarr (68'), Revan (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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