We said: Exeter City 1-1 Wrexham
Both of these teams have been in excellent form defensively, so expect a low-scoring game regardless of the result.
Additionally, Wrexham may have a strong away record, but they have been struggling offensively in recent weeks and are unlikely to win against a stubborn Exeter side on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.