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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
1 - 1
Northampton

Cox (87')
Niskanen (69'), Watts (89'), Cole (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costelloe (42')
Taylor (51'), Costelloe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-1 Northampton Town

The visitors will fancy their chances this weekend against an Exeter side that have not performed well at home throughout this campaign. They will miss the presence of their top scorer McGeehan, but we still think that they can secure a narrow win here to boost their survival hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 30.23% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
44.37% (0.712 0.71) 25.39% (-0.135 -0.14) 30.23% (-0.578 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.5% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (0.328 0.33)49.04% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (0.296 0.3)71.12% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (0.47000000000001 0.47)22.07% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.708 0.71)55.42% (-0.708 -0.71)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-0.233 -0.23)30.05% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.279 -0.28)66.18% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.37%
    Northampton Town 30.23%
    Draw 25.38%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Exeter vs Northampton

Exeter City
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Northampton Town
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Northampton
2-1
Exeter
Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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