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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 34
Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
1 - 1
Northampton

Cox (87')
Niskanen (69'), Watts (89'), Cole (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costelloe (42')
Taylor (51'), Costelloe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 0-1 Northampton Town

The visitors will fancy their chances this weekend against an Exeter side that have not performed well at home throughout this campaign. They will miss the presence of their top scorer McGeehan, but we still think that they can secure a narrow win here to boost their survival hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 30.23% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
44.37% (0.712 0.71) 25.39% (-0.135 -0.14) 30.23% (-0.578 -0.58)
Both teams to score 54.5% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (0.328 0.33)49.04% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (0.296 0.3)71.12% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (0.47000000000001 0.47)22.07% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.708 0.71)55.42% (-0.708 -0.71)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94% (-0.233 -0.23)30.05% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81% (-0.279 -0.28)66.18% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 44.37%
    Northampton Town 30.23%
    Draw 25.38%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.111 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Exeter vs Northampton

Exeter City
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Northampton Town
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Northampton
2-1
Exeter
Morton (65'), McGeehan (78')
McGowan (55'), Mbete (87')
Crama (8')
Francis (35'), Cole (43')
Apr 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-2
Exeter
Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham37268363253886
2Wrexham39238854302477
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe382111665362974
4Charlton AthleticCharlton392091053351869
5Stockport CountyStockport391911955361968
6Reading381711105547862
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield381871352381461
8Bolton WanderersBolton38186146057360
9Leyton Orient381851554381659
10Blackpool391415105951857
11Barnsley39159155355-254
12Lincoln CityLincoln391311155346750
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Mansfield TownMansfield38138174552-747
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough38129175763-645
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham38129174249-745
17Exeter CityExeter38129174053-1345
18Wigan AthleticWigan371111153437-344
19Northampton TownNorthampton391013163857-1943
20Bristol Rovers39126214063-2342
21Burton Albion38812183955-1636
22Crawley TownCrawley3999214471-2736
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge39710223763-2631
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3877243566-3128


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