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League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Northampton
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Costelloe (61'), Guinness-Walker (78')
McGeehan (80'), Pinnock (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sinclair (46')
Taylor (60'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Bristol Rovers

With both teams having shown improvement of late, they will each fancy their chances of adding points to their respective totals. However, we are backing the visitors to come through, a result that could prove pivotal come the end of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
46.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 26.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.8% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.54% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)56.47% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.54% (-0.055 -0.05)77.47% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)24.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.011000000000003 0.01)58.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.42% (-0.108 -0.11)36.58% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.63% (-0.107 -0.11)73.37% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 46.39%
    Bristol Rovers 26.8%
    Draw 26.82%
Northampton TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 46.39%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.9% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.8%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Northampton
Bilongo (90+2')
Griffiths (24')

Hoskins (90+1'), Fox (90+3')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Northampton
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Brough (3'), Pinnock (40'), Leonard (84')
Brough (52'), Moulden (79')
Martin (79')
Wilson (24')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Martin (10'), Evans (30' pen.)
Grant (12'), Evans (18'), Martin (41')
Monthe (57')
Pinnock (54')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Northampton
0-1
Bristol Rovers

McGowan (61'), Lewis (71'), Pinnock (90+2')
Anderson (1')
Finley (68'), Coutts (75'), Connolly (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Northampton
Grant (54'), Evans (59')
Whelan (12'), Harries (49'), Anderson (74')
Whelan (67')
Hoskins (39' pen.)
Hoskins (74'), Roberts (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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