Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.