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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Burton Albion

Martin (13'), Thomas (87'), Hutchinson (90+9')
Martin (35'), Thomas (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tavares (82')
Chauke (66'), Bennett (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Burton Albion

Rovers may have the advantage in league position, but the momentum is with Burton ahead of this clash. The fact that the Brewers have been so strong both in 2025 and on the road in general for the past few months is difficult to ignore, and the visitors will likely take another step towards survival with three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
41.04% (0.139 0.14) 27.51% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08) 31.45% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.5% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.98% (0.288 0.29)57.02% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.09% (0.23 0.23)77.91% (-0.229 -0.23)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69% (0.212 0.21)27.31% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.273 0.27)62.75% (-0.273 -0.27)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.10899999999999 0.11)33.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.123 0.12)69.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 41.03%
    Burton Albion 31.45%
    Draw 27.5%
Bristol RoversDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.66% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.03%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.45%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Burton Albion

Bristol Rovers
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Burton Albion
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burton Albion
1-3
Bristol Rovers
Orsi (15')
Kalinauskas (39'), Webster (45+1'), Cooper Love (89')
Vancooten (82')
Forde (52'), Sinclair (59'), Ward (90+3')
Conteh (45'), O'Donkor (86')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Burton Albion
Evans (60')
Gilligan (43'), Helm (57')
Bola (49'), Gilligan (52'), Helm (64'), Bennett (80')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Burton Albion
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Lubala (26', 43'), Powell (81'), Baah (84')
Moon (18'), Crocombe (70'), Helm (88')
Evans (7')
Bogarde (90+2')
Woods (64')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burton Albion
0-4
Bristol Rovers

Smith (14'), Butcher (64')
Shaughnessy (1')
Evans (4'), Connolly (12'), Collins (40', 44')
Whelan (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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