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Ipswich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Ipswich
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Phillips (18'), Clarke (24'), Taylor (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ward (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Bristol Rovers

With last year's Maidstone nightmare in the back of their minds, Ipswich should be fully concentrated on avoiding another major FA Cup upset this weekend. Bristol Rovers have struggled to pose an attacking threat in the third tier of late, so we find it hard to envisage the Gas pulling up any trees at Portman Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
48.8% (0.979 0.98) 23.78% (-0.319 -0.32) 27.42% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.02% (0.566 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (0.979 0.98)43.57% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (0.955 0.95)65.97% (-0.956 -0.96)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.76700000000001 0.77)17.99% (-0.769 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.3 1.3)48.85% (-1.302 -1.3)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.02600000000001 0.03)29.26% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.22% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 48.8%
    Bristol Rovers 27.43%
    Draw 23.77%
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.165 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 27.43%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Bristol Rovers

Ipswich Town
81.8%
Bristol Rovers
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Ipswich
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (12'), Aluko (76')
Hutchinson (54')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Ipswich
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Leahy (1' og.), Judge (11')
Holy (24'), Drinan (65')
McCormick (18')
Oztumer (77')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Ipswich

Upson (42'), Grant (90+1')
Ehmer (80' og.), Nolan (89')
Norwood (53'), Edwards (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal371914467333471
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
4Chelsea37199963432066
5Aston Villa3719995849966
6Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brentford37167146556955
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3614111155431253
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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