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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Ipswich
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Phillips (18'), Clarke (24'), Taylor (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ward (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
48.8% (0.979 0.98)23.78% (-0.319 -0.32)27.42% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.02% (0.566 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (0.979 0.98)43.57% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (0.955 0.95)65.97% (-0.956 -0.96)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.76700000000001 0.77)17.99% (-0.769 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.3 1.3)48.85% (-1.302 -1.3)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.02600000000001 0.03)29.26% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.22% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 48.8%
    Bristol Rovers 27.43%
    Draw 23.77%
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.165 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 27.43%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Bristol Rovers

Ipswich Town
81.8%
Bristol Rovers
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Ipswich
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (12'), Aluko (76')
Hutchinson (54')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Ipswich
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ipswich
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Chaplin (24'), Evans (55')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Ipswich
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Leahy (1' og.), Judge (11')
Holy (24'), Drinan (65')
McCormick (18')
Oztumer (77')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Ipswich

Upson (42'), Grant (90+1')
Ehmer (80' og.), Nolan (89')
Norwood (53'), Edwards (66')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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