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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bristol Rovers

Exeter
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Fitzwater (72'), Alli (78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (61')
Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

Neither side come into this match in the best form, though Exeter may have gained some confidence having won last time out. Additionally, with the Gas' struggles in front of goal it is difficult to see them scoring in this game, and the Grecians can be expected to pick up all three points in a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.64%25.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.031000000000006 0.03)35.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)72.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 25.62%
    Draw 25.64%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bristol Rovers

Exeter City
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bristol Rovers
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Exeter
Taylor (31'), Hutchinson (67')
Bilongo (33'), Forde (90')
Bird (19'), Alli (49'), Mitchell (88')
Watts (35'), Francis (42')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Diabate (45')
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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