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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Bristol Rovers

Exeter
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Fitzwater (72'), Alli (78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (61')
Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Exeter City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

Neither side come into this match in the best form, though Exeter may have gained some confidence having won last time out. Additionally, with the Gas' struggles in front of goal it is difficult to see them scoring in this game, and the Grecians can be expected to pick up all three points in a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.64%25.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.031000000000006 0.03)35.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)72.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 25.62%
    Draw 25.64%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Exeter vs Bristol Rovers

Exeter City
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bristol Rovers
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Exeter
Taylor (31'), Hutchinson (67')
Bilongo (33'), Forde (90')
Bird (19'), Alli (49'), Mitchell (88')
Watts (35'), Francis (42')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Diabate (45')
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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