Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.