

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 65.51% ( | 19.53% ( | 14.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( | 40.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.64% ( | 63.35% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( | 11.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.17% ( | 36.83% ( |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60% ( | 40% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.35% ( | 76.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.7% ( 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 4-0 @ 4.13% ( 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 65.5% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.53% | 0-1 @ 4.29% ( 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 14.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| 22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
