Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.