

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City | 
| 41.92% (  0.01) | 25.19% (  -0) | 32.89% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 56.32% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.81% (  0.01) | 47.19% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.57% (  0.01) | 69.42% (  -0.01) | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.56% (  0.01) | 22.44% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.03% (  0.01) | 55.97% (  -0.01) | 
| Edinburgh City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.62% | 27.38% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.15% (  0) | 62.85% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City | 
| 1-0 @ 9.18% (  -0) 2-1 @ 8.89% (  0) 2-0 @ 6.86% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.43% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.42% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.87% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.65% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.28% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.07% (  0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.92% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.14% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.24% (  0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.96% (  -0) 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.15% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.89% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 
| 3 | Kelty Hearts | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 15 | 
| 5 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 14 | 
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 | 
| 8 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 8 | 
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 6 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
