Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Edinburgh
1 - 4
East Kilbride
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Edinburgh City and East Kilbride.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stirling 0-3 East Kilbride
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Falkirk | 14 | 2.80 | Maciver |
| 2 | QotS | 12 | 2.40 | Reilly |
| 3 | Hamilton | 9 | 1.80 | One |
| 4 | Alloa | 7 | 1.40 | Rodden |
| 5 | Annan | 6 | 1.20 | Docherty |
| 6 | Cove Rangers | 6 | 1.20 | Burrell |
| 7 | Montrose | 6 | 1.20 | Brown |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 1.00 | Cunningham |
| 9 | Stirling | 5 | 1.00 | Cooper |
| 10 | Edinburgh | 3 | 0.60 | Murray |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-3 (6.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Kilbride |
13.09% ( 0.89) | 14.52% ( 1.01) | 72.38% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 68.35% ( -1.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
