Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Motherwell Under-21s had a probability of 5.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-4 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a Motherwell Under-21s win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.