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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Barnsley
Leeds
3 - 1
Barnsley
Sinisterra (21'), Klich (32' pen., 56')
Drameh (67'), Hjelde (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Andersen (35')
Styles (43'), Kitching (67'), Williams (81')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Leeds United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Barnsley

With local pride at stake, many of Barnsley's players may raise their game for this contest. However, even if Marsch names an entirely different starting XI, we expect the home side to power their way to victory over their county neighbours. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBarnsley
56.94% (1.6 1.6) 22.77% (-0.526 -0.53) 20.29% (-1.073 -1.07)
Both teams to score 52.91% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.63% (0.886 0.89)46.37% (-0.885 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (0.828 0.83)68.65% (-0.827 -0.83)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (0.873 0.87)16.05% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (1.573 1.57)45.42% (-1.571 -1.57)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.577 -0.58)36.97% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.577 -0.58)73.76% (0.58 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 56.93%
    Barnsley 20.29%
    Draw 22.77%
Leeds UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.211 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.05% (0.3 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.03% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 3% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.214 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.172 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.066 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.105 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.77%
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Leeds vs Barnsley

Leeds United
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Barnsley
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2020 5pm
Sep 15, 2019 12.30pm
Barnsley
0-2
Leeds

Sibbick (38')
Nketiah (84'), Klich (89' pen.)
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Barnsley
Pearce (17'), Alioski (50')
Vieira (31')
O'Connor (36' og.)
Hammill (87')
Nov 25, 2017 12.30pm
Barnsley
0-2
Leeds

Barnes (15'), Gardner (48'), Hammill (75')
Saiz (23'), Alioski (45')
Jansson (3'), Ayling (15'), Hernandez (53')
Jan 21, 2017 5.30pm
Barnsley
3-2
Leeds
Bradshaw (45'), Kent (48'), Hourihane (54')
Hourihane (21'), Watkins (66'), Scowen (67'), Armstrong (82')
Wood (18', 67')
Roofe (53'), Bartley (57'), O'Kane (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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