

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Wycombe Wanderers | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 20 | Oxford United | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Peterborough United | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 45.46% ( | 25.94% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.9% ( | 52.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.18% ( | 73.82% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( | 22.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.4% ( | 56.6% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.62% ( | 69.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 28.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
