MX23RW : Monday, January 15 02:13:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Moreirense
Estoril
1 - 3
Moreirense
Carlos (90')
Gomes (25'), Fernandes (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aparicio (30'), Marcelo (33'), Alan (74')
Ramos (39'), Alan (45+2'), Antonisse (73')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Moreirense 1-4 Casa Pia
Monday, January 8 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Moreirense

After a very good first half of the season, it will be interesting to see if Moreirense are able to keep up their excellent form moving forward, and they face a stern test here against an Estoril side that are improving week on week. The Canaries have won each of their last four home league games 4-0, and while we do not expect an equally big margin of victory here, we do feel they will be able to grind out another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawMoreirense
29.5% (-0.236 -0.24) 26.31% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 44.19% (0.293 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.21% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.145 0.14)53.14% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.123 0.12)74.71% (-0.13 -0.13)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)32.68% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.108 -0.11)69.23% (0.10000000000001 0.1)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.205 0.2)23.92% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.297 0.3)58.13% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 29.5%
    Moreirense 44.19%
    Draw 26.3%
Estoril PraiaDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.82% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.5%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 11.18%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 44.19%

How you voted: Estoril vs Moreirense

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Moreirense
0.0%
9
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Estoril
1-0
Moreirense
Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')
Vital (84')

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')
Dec 28, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-0
Estoril
Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')
Feb 12, 2018 8pm
Moreirense
1-2
Estoril
Toze (10')
Semedo (60'), Belkaroui (86'), Sagna (89')
Allano (72'), Eduardo (81' pen.)
Ailton (19'), Kyriakou (54')
Sep 10, 2017 8.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Moreirense

Abner (53'), Allano (83')
Abarhoun (34'), Zizo (75')
Costa (26'), Santos (63'), Pena (79')
Feb 18, 2017 4pm
Moreirense
1-1
Estoril
Sougou (53')
Almeida (28'), Caue (57'), Alex (63'), Rebocho (66')
Rebocho (85' og.)
Taira (59')
rhs 2.0
MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica17133135112442
3Porto17122325121338
4Braga17103440251533
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9BoavistaBoavista175572631-520
10Casa Pia175481823-519
11Estrela Amadora174671824-618
12PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
13Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente174492731-416
16Rio AveRio Ave173681928-915
17Vizela172781627-1113
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

MLS Apple TV+ Messi promo
New Apple Music general promo - 300x250

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!