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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Farense logo
Estoril
4 - 0
Farense
Marques (4', 47'), Araujo (45+5'), Parra (78')
Carne (22'), Holsgrove (30')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Falcao (24'), Pastor (54')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 SC Farense

Estoril's home advantage and recent form give them the edge in this match. However, Farense's defensive solidity, recent away performances and ability to frustrate could see them snatch a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
60.46% (-0.422 -0.42) 20.83% (0.147 0.15) 18.7% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.222 -0.22)40.04% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.231 -0.23)62.41% (0.234 0.23)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)12.84% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (-0.392 -0.39)39.2% (0.395 0.39)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.166 0.17)34.96% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.172 0.17)71.7% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 60.46%
    SC Farense 18.7%
    Draw 20.83%
Estoril PraiaDrawSC Farense
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 60.46%
1-1 @ 9.68% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.72% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.48% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Estoril vs Farense

Estoril Praia
47.6%
Draw
42.9%
SC Farense
9.5%
21
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica16123131102139
3Porto16112323121135
4Braga16103340231733
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense167542117426
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9Casa Pia175481823-519
10PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
11Estoril PraiaEstoril165293029117
12Estrela Amadora164571723-617
13BoavistaBoavista164572230-817
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente164392630-415
16Rio AveRio Ave163671824-615
17Vizela162771523-813
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

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