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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Estrela Amadora
Farense
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Oliveira (8'), Isidoro (81')
FT

Jaba (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Farense
Friday, December 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Boavista
Sunday, December 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-1 Estrela Amadora

Both these sides have made positive starts to life back in the top flight and would have had this fixture circled as one in which they could earn all three points. This is arguably one of the most even contests in the Primeira Liga this weekend, and we feel there will be nothing to separate these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
42.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.53% (0.012 0.01) 32.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.96% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)48.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (-0.041 -0.04)70.96% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)56.83% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.6% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)64.41% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 42.21%
    Estrela Amadora 32.25%
    Draw 25.53%
SC FarenseDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.25%

How you voted: Farense vs Estrela Amadora

SC Farense
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Estrela Amadora
38.5%
13
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica17133135112442
3Porto17122325121338
4Braga17103440251533
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9BoavistaBoavista175572631-520
10Casa Pia175481823-519
11Estrela Amadora174671824-618
12PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
13Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente174492731-416
16Rio AveRio Ave173681928-915
17Vizela172781627-1113
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

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