Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
42.21% (![]() | 25.53% (![]() | 32.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% (![]() | 48.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% (![]() | 70.96% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.98% (![]() | 23.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.17% (![]() | 56.83% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% (![]() | 28.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.59% (![]() | 64.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 9.67% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.24% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 23 | 43 |
2 | Benfica | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 35 | 11 | 24 | 42 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 30 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 20 |
10 | Casa Pia | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 18 |
12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | -18 | 18 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 17 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 16 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Vizela | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |