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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Boavista
Estrela Amadora
3 - 1
Boavista
Jaba (52'), Abascal (78' og.), Kikas (84')
Luiz (31'), Cordeiro (36'), Gaspar (63'), Almeida (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavares (74')
Ferreira (25'), Perez (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-4 Arouca
Sunday, December 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Boavista

Despite their disappointing performance, last weekend's draw saw Estrela end a three-game losing streak and they will head into Sunday's tie looking to build on that result. The Tricolores take on an out-of-sorts Boavista side and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estrela Amadora would win this match.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
29.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.6% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (0.012 0.01)72.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)22.51% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)56.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 29.93%
    Boavista 44.43%
    Draw 25.62%
Estrela AmadoraDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 29.93%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Boavista

Estrela Amadora
40.0%
Draw
33.3%
Boavista
26.7%
30
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica17133135112442
3Porto17122325121338
4Braga17103440251533
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9BoavistaBoavista175572631-520
10Casa Pia175481823-519
11Estrela Amadora174671824-618
12PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
13Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente174492731-416
16Rio AveRio Ave173681928-915
17Vizela172781627-1113
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

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