

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw has a probability of 14.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (11.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (2.76%).
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 78.62% ( | 14.45% ( | 6.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( | 40.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( | 63.18% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.58% ( | 8.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.74% ( | 29.26% ( |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.82% ( | 55.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.01% ( | 87.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 2-0 @ 14.22% ( 3-0 @ 11.73% ( 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 4-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 4-1 @ 4.32% ( 5-0 @ 3.59% ( 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 6-0 @ 1.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 78.6% | 1-1 @ 6.84% ( 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 2-2 @ 2.52% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 14.45% | 0-1 @ 2.76% ( 1-2 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 6.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Vizela | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 7 |
| 18 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
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