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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Park
Arsenal Women
2 - 1
Man City Women
Catley (14'), Blackstenius (87')
Walti (6'), Lacasse (7'), Pelova (34'), Foord (53'), McCabe (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kelly (72')
Hemp (13'), Keating (18'), Ouahabi (35')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Women 1-2 Arsenal Women
Sunday, October 22 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-1 Man City Women
Saturday, October 21 at 5.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Arsenal Women 1-1 Manchester City Women

Arsenal will be desperate to close the three-point gap to Man City this weekend, but with the Citizens proving to be a tough team to beat, we think that the hosts will have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Arsenal Women has a probability of 30.35% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win is 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.69%).

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
30.35% (-0.055 -0.05) 24.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 44.84% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.5% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)46.46% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)68.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)28.67% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)64.49% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)53.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 30.35%
    Manchester City Women 44.84%
    Draw 24.8%
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 30.35%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.84%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
Feb 11, 2023 12.30pm
Jan 23, 2022 6.45pm
Gameweek 13
Man City Women
1-1
Arsenal Women
Shaw (65')
Stanway (16'), Hemp (33'), Weir (90'), Walsh (90+6')
Heath (90+2')
McCabe (32'), Parris (55'), Miedema (83')
Sep 26, 2021 6.45pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal Women
5-0
Man City Women
Miedema (10'), Little (23', 78' pen.), McCabe (60'), Williamson (90+4')
Maritz (67')

Stokes (45+3')
Feb 7, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal Women
1-2
Man City Women
Foord (57')
White (24'), Hemp (79')
Bronze (71')
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