La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia1 - 0Granada
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-2 Valencia
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Valencia 2-1 Granada
Granada have not had too many problems finding the back of the net this season, scoring 17 times, with only six sides scoring more in La Liga in 2023-24. Lopez's side are conceding at an alarming rate, though, and we are expecting an in-form Valencia to shade this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Granada |
48.61% ( 0.03) | 26.65% ( -0.04) | 24.74% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
