MX23RW : Wednesday, January 17 15:04:19| >> :60:3044:3044:
Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas
Valencia logo
UD Logrones
0 - 2
Valencia

Vitoria (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gozalbez (45+1'), Lopez (88')
Yaremchuk (32'), Gonzalez (39'), Gozalbez (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between UD Logrones and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Logrones

All competitions
Last Game: UD Logrones 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, January 4 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Valencia

All competitions
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: UD Logrones 0-3 Valencia

 Despite it appearing a mismatch on paper, Logrones have competed well in this competition in recent years and kept the score down to just 1-0 the last time they met Valencia four years ago. The visitors should have no difficulty in sweeping their opponents aside though and putting their name in the hat for the second round, especially after showing some fine recent form on the league front of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
UD LogronesDrawValencia
36.93% (-0.596 -0.6) 27.94% (0.414 0.41) 35.13% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 47.95% (-1.244 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95% (-1.557 -1.56)58.05% (1.56 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27% (-1.238 -1.24)78.73% (1.241 1.24)
UD Logrones Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (-1.125 -1.13)30.18% (1.128 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.66% (-1.37 -1.37)66.34% (1.372 1.37)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.66199999999999 -0.66)31.32% (0.665 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.779 -0.78)67.68% (0.782 0.78)
Score Analysis
    UD Logrones 36.93%
    Valencia 35.12%
    Draw 27.93%
UD LogronesDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.93%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.547 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.12%

How you voted: UD Logrones vs Valencia

UD Logrones
18.4%
Draw
10.5%
Valencia
71.1%
38
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2020 8pm
Round of 32
UD Logrones
0-1
Valencia

Olaetxea (82')
Gomez (15')
Torres (32'), Mangala (56')
rhs 2.0
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