

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 53.69% (  -0.3) | 25.17% (  0.29) | 21.14% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 46.94% (  -0.82) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.07% (  -1.09) | 54.92% (  1.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.79% (  -0.91) | 76.21% (  0.91) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.54% (  -0.55) | 20.46% (  0.55) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.08% (  -0.88) | 52.92% (  0.88) | 
| Cadiz Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.01% (  -0.62) | 40.98% (  0.61) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.46% (  -0.56) | 77.54% (  0.55) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 1-0 @ 13.3% (  0.33) 2-0 @ 10.55% (  0.09) 2-1 @ 9.42% (  -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.58% (  -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.98% (  -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.22% (  -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.22% (  -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.98% (  -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.86% (  0.1) 0-0 @ 8.38% (  0.35) 2-2 @ 4.2% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.48% (  0.19) 1-2 @ 5.29% (  -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.34% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 1.57% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% (  -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.14% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
