

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 32.51% ( | 28.85% ( | 38.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.45% ( | 61.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.6% ( | 81.4% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( | 34.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.34% ( | 71.66% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( | 30.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.82% ( | 67.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.78% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
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