

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
| 39.68% ( | 27.01% ( | 33.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( | 54.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( | 76.02% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.03% ( | 26.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.69% ( | 62.31% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( | 30.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.91% ( | 67.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% ( 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.68% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 33 | 36 | 75 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 67 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 61 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 44 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 44 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 38 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 32 |
| 19 | Leganes | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 83 | -58 | 16 |
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