MX23RW : Saturday, May 31 06:15:55| >> :60:249:249:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 9, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano
3 - 1
Caracas

Gentile (15'), Valoyes (67'), Noronha (83')
Arias (22'), Estrada (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manuel Hernandez Chavez (34')
De Santis (3'), Jimenez (81')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cienciano and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cienciano

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Last Game: Deportes Iquique 2-2 Cienciano
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Caracas

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Caracas 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, April 24 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cienciano win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cienciano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Caracas win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cienciano would win this match.

Result
CiencianoDrawCaracas
48.44% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 25.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.14% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.58% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)51.54% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)73.33% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Cienciano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)21.29% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)54.23% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (0.016000000000005 0.02)34.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.016000000000002 0.02)71.17% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cienciano 48.44%
    Caracas 26.14%
    Draw 25.42%
CiencianoDrawCaracas
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.78% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 26.14%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
Caracas
2-2
Cienciano
Fabrissio Reinoso Torin (8'), Alexander Rondon Maneiro (90+9')
Fabrissio Reinoso Torin (33'), Heraldez Sevillano (48'), La Mantia (49'), Mago (83'), Natividad Yendis Gomez (90+12'), Jimenez (90+11')
Covea (90')
Garces (41', 66')
Romagnoli (31'), Garces (34'), Amondarain (82'), Ortiz (90+11'), Luis Barrios Hernandez (90+9')
rhs 2.0
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