Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportes Iquique win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportes Iquique win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Caracas win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.