Australian A-League
May 31, 2025 at 10.40am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Melbourne City1 - 0Victory
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Western Utd
Saturday, May 24 at 10.35am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 24 at 10.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Auckland FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, May 24 at 7am in Australian A-League
Saturday, May 24 at 7am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
48
We said: Melbourne City 2-1 Melbourne Victory
City are in better form ahead of this clash and their record at AAMI Park has been impressive, so expect to see them put in a strong performance this weekend. That being said, Victory showed great character to come from behind against the regular season's strongest team in the semi-final, and they could pose a threat to their Melbourne rivals on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 62.1% | 20.53% | 17.38% |
| Both teams to score 55.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
