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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | 1st Leg
May 17, 2025 at 10.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Victory
vs.
Auckland FC

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Victory
Saturday, May 10 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Auckland FC

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 4-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, May 3 at 9am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Auckland FC has a probability of 29.15% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Auckland FC win is 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.22%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawAuckland FC
46.79%24.06%29.15%
Both teams to score 58.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24%43.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.86%66.14%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14%18.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.68%50.32%
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19%63.8%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 46.79%
    Auckland FC 29.15%
    Draw 24.06%
Melbourne VictoryDrawAuckland FC
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.38%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 46.79%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 7.12%
0-1 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 29.15%

Who will win Thursday's Australian A-League clash between Lowest ranked winner and Auckland FC?

Lowest ranked winner
Draw
Auckland FC
Lowest ranked winner
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Auckland FC
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 8am
Gameweek 27
Victory
0-2
Auckland FC
Verstraete (53'), May (89')
Elliot (59'), Sakai (79'), Francois (90+5')
Jan 1, 2025 4am
Gameweek 11
Auckland FC
0-0
Victory
Verstraete (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC26158349272253
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City26146641251648
3Western UnitedWestern Utd26145755371847
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney26137658401846
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2612774436843
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC2610795346737
8Macarthur2696115045533
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2686124344-130
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26511102951-2226
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2666142743-1624
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2656153251-1921
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2645172256-3417
> Australian A-League Full Table


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