Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.