Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Haverfordwest County and Caernarfon Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Haverfordwest 1-3 New Saints
Saturday, April 19 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 19 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-0 Cardiff MU (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 11 at 5.10pm in Welsh Premier League
Sunday, May 11 at 5.10pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
58
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
54.34% ( -0.42) | 23.13% ( 0.06) | 22.53% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.97% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
