Pen-y-Bont

3 - 1

Caernarfon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.