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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon
2 - 4
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (53'), Bradley (90+4')
Donohue (14'), Williams (45+2'), Mooney (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Venables (7', 64', 90+1' pen.), Jefferies (25')
Jones (10'), Reffell (65')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pen-y-Bont.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 6-1 Caernarfon
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 0-2 Aberystwyth
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 30.26% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.45%).

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
30.26% (0.327 0.33) 24.45% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 45.28% (-0.306 -0.31)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.08% (0.255 0.26)44.91% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (0.246 0.25)67.27% (-0.244 -0.24)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.34699999999999 0.35)27.95% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (0.441 0.44)63.58% (-0.439 -0.44)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)19.95% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)52.12% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 30.26%
    Pen-y-Bont 45.28%
    Draw 24.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawPen-y-Bont
2-1 @ 7.3% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.054 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.89% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.28%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Pen-y-Bont
3-2
Caernarfon
Venables (45+2', 76'), John Williams (90+11' og.)
Pennock (31'), Yorwerth (66'), Little (68')
Richard Williams (31'), Mooney (90+8')
Richard Williams (11'), Clarke (79')
Jan 7, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 6
Pen-y-Bont
5-1
Caernarfon
Reffell (9'), Reynolds (17'), Yorwerth (32'), Georgievsky (72'), Tweedy (82')
Cartwright (78')
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 14
Caernarfon
0-2
Pen-y-Bont
Wood (22'), Reynolds (70')
Dec 4, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Caernarfon
1-2
Pen-y-Bont
Hayes (57')
Hughes (45')
Snaith (4'), Evans (90' og.)
Evans (59'), Watts (84')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Caernarfon
Wood (35')
Evans (61')
Jones (67')
Edwards (13'), Donohue (33'), Hughes (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints15132053114241
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay15102342192332
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU157442023-325
4Newtown AFCNewtown147252316723
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon157263030023
6Bala TownBala Town155641111021
7Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont146262122-120
8Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest154562026-617
9Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd15348517-1213
10Barry Town UnitedBarry153391527-1212
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth14329928-1911
12Colwyn Bay1422101332-198

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