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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.
Result | ||
Dallas | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
43.28% (![]() | 25.9% (![]() | 30.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.17% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.08% (![]() | 50.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.21% (![]() | 72.79% (![]() |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% (![]() | 23.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% (![]() | 57.38% |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.41% (![]() | 30.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.17% (![]() | 66.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Dallas | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
1-0 @ 10.39% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2% Total : 43.27% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.16% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 7.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 30.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 73 |
2 | Orlando City | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 66 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 69 | 46 | 23 | 60 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 58 |
5 | New England RevolutionNew England | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 55 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 66 | 55 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Nashville SCNashville | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
8 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 47 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 43 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
12 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 49 | -4 | 40 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 40 |
14 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 34 |
15 | Toronto | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 36 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 56 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 56 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 55 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 54 |
5 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 51 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 50 |
7 | Dallas | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 49 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 48 |
9 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 35 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 43 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 39 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 67 | -16 | 36 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 27 |