We said: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Pyramids FC
While Mamelodi Sundowns have not been prolific in the CAF Champions League this season, their defence has been elite, and given the visitors' struggles on the road, we fancy the Brazilians to secure a lead here to take to Egypt next weekend.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Pyramids FC had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Pyramids FC win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.