MX23RW : Friday, April 25 21:23:17| >> :60:329:329:
CAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 1, 2025 at 2pm UK
Loftus Versfeld Stadium

Mamelodi Sundowns
1 - 0
ES Tunis

Shalulile (54')
Mokoena (22'), (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mokwana (66'), Belaili (90+3')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Mamelodi Sundowns and Esperance Tunis.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

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Last Game: Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 FAR Rabat
Sunday, January 19 at 4pm in CAF Champions League
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Esperance Tunis

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Last Game: ES Tunis 4-1 Sagrada Esperança
Saturday, January 18 at 7pm in CAF Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mamelodi Sundowns in this match.

Result
Mamelodi SundownsDrawEsperance Tunis
52.96% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21) 26.49% (0.298 0.3) 20.56% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 42.75% (-0.851 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.96% (-1.06 -1.06)60.04% (1.063 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.73% (-0.812 -0.81)80.27% (0.816 0.82)
Mamelodi Sundowns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13% (-0.539 -0.54)22.87% (0.541 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.39% (-0.802 -0.8)56.61% (0.805 0.81)
Esperance Tunis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43% (-0.712 -0.71)44.57% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41% (-0.582 -0.58)80.59% (0.584 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Mamelodi Sundowns 52.95%
    Esperance Tunis 20.56%
    Draw 26.48%
Mamelodi SundownsDrawEsperance Tunis
1-0 @ 15.03% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 11.09% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.19% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.166 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 20.56%

How you voted: Mamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis

Mamelodi Sundowns
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Esperance Tunis
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
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