MX23RW : Tuesday, April 8 10:42:06| >> :60:321:321:
CAF Champions League | Group Stage
Jan 18, 2025 at 7pm UK
 

ES Tunis
4 - 1
Sagrada Esperança

Jebri (17', 55', 59'), Sasse (23')
Jebri (44'), Ben Ali (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dala Sebastiao (45+2')
Ngalula da Cunha (23')
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Esperance Tunis and Sagrada Esperança.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Djoliba 0-1 ES Tunis
Sunday, January 12 at 4pm in CAF Champions League
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Last Game: Sagrada Esperança 0-1 Pyramids FC
Saturday, January 11 at 4pm in CAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esperance Tunis win with a probability of 80.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sagrada Esperança had a probability of 4.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esperance Tunis win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.71%) and 3-0 (13.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.88%), while for a Sagrada Esperança win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esperance Tunis would win this match.

Result
Esperance TunisDrawSagrada Esperança
80.48% (-1.872 -1.87) 14.59% (1.186 1.19) 4.93% (0.686 0.69)
Both teams to score 29.19% (1.074 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-1.804 -1.8)49.95% (1.803 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-1.632 -1.63)71.94% (1.632 1.63)
Esperance Tunis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (-0.937 -0.94)10.2% (0.937 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.51% (-2.181 -2.18)33.49% (2.181 2.18)
Sagrada Esperança Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.51% (1.522 1.52)67.49% (-1.522 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.97% (0.583 0.58)94.03% (-0.583 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Esperance Tunis 80.46%
    Sagrada Esperança 4.93%
    Draw 14.59%
Esperance TunisDrawSagrada Esperança
2-0 @ 17.93% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 15.71% (0.5 0.5)
3-0 @ 13.64% (-0.7 -0.7)
4-0 @ 7.79% (-0.744 -0.74)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.342 0.34)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.56% (-0.504 -0.5)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.108 -0.11)
6-0 @ 1.35% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 80.46%
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.49 0.49)
1-1 @ 6.18% (0.537 0.54)
2-2 @ 1.39% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 14.59%
0-1 @ 2.71% (0.336 0.34)
1-2 @ 1.22% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 1%
Total : 4.93%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 4pm
Group Stage
Sagrada Esperança
0-0
ES Tunis
Diallo (40'), Fernandes Mbuta (64'), Bunga Tunga Barbosa (83'), Manuel Afonso (90+2')
Teka (88'), Jelassi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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