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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 31
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Birmingham logo

Peterborough
1 - 2
Birmingham

Poku (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
May (20'), Gardner-Hickman (37')
Harris (54'), Iwata (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 0-4 Northampton
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 6-2 Barnsley
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Birmingham City

After a heavy defeat to Northampton on the weekend, Peterborough will be targeting a response against Birmingham at the Weston Homes on Tuesday night. With excitement building for both sides ahead of Sunday's Wembley final, the pair could settle on a share of the spoils in this League One clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBirmingham City
23.96% (-2.896 -2.9) 22.83% (-0.723 -0.72) 53.21% (3.62 3.62)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.526 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.65% (0.668 0.67)42.35% (-0.668 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.25% (0.664 0.66)64.75% (-0.664 -0.66)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-1.932 -1.93)31.32% (1.933 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-2.304 -2.3)67.68% (2.304 2.3)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (1.556 1.56)15.92% (-1.556 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83% (2.785 2.79)45.17% (-2.787 -2.79)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 23.96%
    Birmingham City 53.21%
    Draw 22.83%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.543 -0.54)
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.501 -0.5)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.491 -0.49)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-0 @ 1.3% (-0.271 -0.27)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 23.96%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.185 -0.19)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 9.77% (0.204 0.2)
0-1 @ 9.16% (0.203 0.2)
0-2 @ 8.42% (0.605 0.61)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.423 0.42)
0-3 @ 5.16% (0.614 0.61)
2-3 @ 3.48% (0.068 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.324 0.32)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.388 0.39)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.111 0.11)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.21%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Birmingham

Peterborough United
16.3%
Draw
14.0%
Birmingham City
69.8%
43
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Birmingham
3-2
Peterborough
Thor Willumsson (24'), Wallin (49' og.), Bielik (66')
Davies (30'), Dykes (35'), Stansfield (73'), Leonard (90+1')
Jade-Jones (4'), Fernandez (16')
Fernandez (29'), Sparkes (33'), Kyprianou (82')
Jul 29, 2023 3pm
Club Friendlies
Peterborough
3-2
Birmingham
Poku (4'), Mason-Clark (11'), Kyprianou (13')
Hogan (33'), Jutkiewicz (90')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Birmingham
2-2
Peterborough
Gardner (85'), Hogan (88')
Marriott (16'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Kent (45+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Peterborough
3-0
Birmingham
Dean (1' og.), Clarke-Harris (35' pen.), Grant (50')
Kent (70'), Butler (90+2')

Woods (35'), Aneke (74')
Gardner (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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