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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Barnsley

Birmingham
6 - 2
Barnsley

Stansfield (33' pen.), May (47', 55'), Harris (72'), Dowell (82'), Jutkiewicz (89')
Klarer (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keillor-Dunn (35'), Humphrys (59')
Bland (76')
Durand de Gevigney (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 1 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Barnsley

Unbeaten across 20 League One home matches, Birmingham should be extremely confident of putting Barnsley to the sword at St Andrew's this weekend. The Tykes are in the midst of a six-game winless spell and do not have a permanent boss, making it even harder to envisage an away victory in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw has a probability of 19.2% and a win for Barnsley has a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Barnsley win it is 0-1 (4.25%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
66.94% (-0.148 -0.15) 19.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 13.8% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.86% (0.604 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.544 0.54)42.21% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (0.543 0.54)64.61% (-0.544 -0.54)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.11800000000001 0.12)11.68% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.253 0.25)36.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59% (0.60700000000001 0.61)42.4% (-0.609 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21% (0.516 0.52)78.78% (-0.51700000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 66.93%
    Barnsley 13.8%
    Draw 19.25%
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Barnsley

Birmingham City
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Barnsley
1-2
Birmingham
Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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