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League One | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Barnsley

Birmingham
6 - 2
Barnsley

Stansfield (33' pen.), May (47', 55'), Harris (72'), Dowell (82'), Jutkiewicz (89')
Klarer (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keillor-Dunn (35'), Humphrys (59')
Bland (76')
Durand de Gevigney (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 1 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 2-0 Barnsley

Unbeaten across 20 League One home matches, Birmingham should be extremely confident of putting Barnsley to the sword at St Andrew's this weekend. The Tykes are in the midst of a six-game winless spell and do not have a permanent boss, making it even harder to envisage an away victory in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw has a probability of 19.2% and a win for Barnsley has a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Barnsley win it is 0-1 (4.25%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
66.94% (-0.148 -0.15) 19.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 13.8% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.86% (0.604 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.544 0.54)42.21% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (0.543 0.54)64.61% (-0.544 -0.54)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.11800000000001 0.12)11.68% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (0.253 0.25)36.77% (-0.255 -0.26)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59% (0.60700000000001 0.61)42.4% (-0.609 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21% (0.516 0.52)78.78% (-0.51700000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 66.93%
    Barnsley 13.8%
    Draw 19.25%
Birmingham CityDrawBarnsley
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.01% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.069 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.2% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.25%
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.8%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Barnsley

Birmingham City
83.3%
Draw
11.1%
Barnsley
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Barnsley
1-2
Birmingham
Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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