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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham logo

Barnsley
1 - 2
Birmingham

Seung-ho (58' og.)
Connell (15'), Clarke (16'), O'Keeffe (23'), Phillips (38'), Cosgrove (83')
Phillips (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (60', 79')
Harris (31'), Laird (87'), Gardner-Hickman (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 0-1 Birmingham City

In the midst of a five-game winless run, Barnsley will not be looking forward to the visit of promotion contenders Birmingham on Saturday afternoon. Blues' attack is set to be blunted by the absence of Anderson, but we feel that the visitors should manage to grind out a narrow victory in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
27.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 24.73% (0.026 0.03) 47.6% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.164 -0.16)47.62% (0.163 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.152 -0.15)69.82% (0.152 0.15)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-0.134 -0.13)31.18% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-0.157 -0.16)67.51% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)20.06% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)52.28% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 27.67%
    Birmingham City 47.59%
    Draw 24.72%
BarnsleyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 7.29% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.41%
0-2 @ 8.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Birmingham

Barnsley
23.3%
Draw
16.7%
Birmingham City
60.0%
30
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Birmingham
2-1
Barnsley
Hernandez (34'), Hogan (51')
Gardner (90')
Adeboyejo (87')
Palmer (38'), Helik (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Barnsley
1-0
Birmingham
Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')

Friend (33'), Harper (72')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-2
Barnsley
Hogan (56')
McGree (68'), Leko (77')
Woodrow (71' pen.), Styles (84')
Andersen (58')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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