Sutton0 - 1Birmingham
Sivi (10'), Barbrook (90+3')
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
for
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
for
We said: Sutton United 0-2 Birmingham City
Despite the gulf in class between the two sides, Sutton are likely to make the contest a challenging one for League One leaders Birmingham. Blues will be able to control the ball on the artificial surface at Gander Green Lane and should earn safe passage into the second round if they can avoid a full-blown battle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Sutton United win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Birmingham City |
20.11% ( 0.01) | 21.85% ( -0.07) | 58.03% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
