FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
0 - 1
Birmingham

Sivi (10'), Barbrook (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Thor Willumsson (34')
Allsop (15'), Laird (58'), Anderson (62'), Cochrane (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Sutton United and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 7-1 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Sutton United win it was 2-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Birmingham City
20.11% ( 0.01)	21.85% ( -0.07)	58.03% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 55.66% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.42% (

0.32)

42.58% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.01% (

0.32)

64.99% (

-0.31)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02% (

0.2)

34.98% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28% (

0.2)

71.72% (

-0.2)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.6% (

0.13)

14.4% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.69% (

0.24)

42.31% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 20.11%

Birmingham City 58.03%

Draw 21.85%

Sutton United	Draw	Birmingham City
2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 20.11%	1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.03%