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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
2 - 0
Rotherham

Russell (32'), Humphrys (86')
Connell (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Barnsley and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Rotherham United

Barnsley tend to fare well in matches against Rotherham, and we think that the Tykes make full use of home advantage to clinch all three points and record a fifth consecutive win in head-to-head meetings with the Millers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
36.82% (-0.108 -0.11) 24.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 38.4% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.274 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.35599999999999 0.36)44.61% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.02% (0.343 0.34)66.98% (-0.345 -0.34)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.10299999999999 0.1)23.88% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (0.15 0.15)58.08% (-0.153 -0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.255 0.25)23.05% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.371 0.37)56.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.83%
    Rotherham United 38.4%
    Draw 24.77%
BarnsleyDrawRotherham United
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.65% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Rotherham

Barnsley
70.2%
Draw
17.5%
Rotherham United
12.3%
57
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barnsley
1-0
Rotherham
Morris (2')
Sibbick (65'), Halme (85')

MacDonald (28'), Wood (45+1'), MacDonald (54')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Rotherham
1-2
Barnsley
Smith (57')
Lindsay (69'), Wood (77'), Smith (81')
Woodrow (8'), Mowatt (15')
Sollbauer (56')
Jul 29, 2017 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
4-0
Barnsley
Proctor (67', 73', 75'), Moore (91')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Barnsley
4-0
Rotherham
Roberts (54'), Hammill (57'), Bradshaw (86'), Kent (91')
Scowen (55')

Newell (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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