FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

New York Stadium

Rotherham
1 - 3
Cheltenham

Wilks (37')
Powell (46'), Odofin (71')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Colwill (36', 45'), Archer (58')
Kinsella (21'), Young (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Rotherham United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 3-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
50.02% ( 0.47)	24.01% ( 0.32)	25.97% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 55.93% (

-1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25% (

-2.02)

45.74% (

2.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

-1.95)

68.06% (

1.95)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65% (

-0.59)

18.34% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.54% (

-1.01)

49.45% (

1.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.49% (

-1.67)

31.5% (

1.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11% (

-1.98)

67.89% (

1.97)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 50.02%

Cheltenham Town 25.97%

Draw 24.01%

Rotherham United	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.02%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.01%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.97%