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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Cheltenham Town

Carlisle
0 - 1
Cheltenham


Robson (46'), Neal (69'), Mellish (82'), Sadi (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Archer (17')
Stubbs (29'), Young (55'), Payne (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Bradford
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
35.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.25% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 39.28% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)46.92% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.084 -0.08)69.17% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)23.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28% (-0.135 -0.13)57.72% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 35.47%
    Cheltenham Town 39.28%
    Draw 25.25%
Carlisle UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.09% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.61% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.47%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 39.28%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
0-1
Carlisle
Lavelle (42')
Huntington (7'), Robinson (78'), Lavelle (85')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Lavelle (38'), Moxon (67')
Sercombe (27')
Bonds (40'), Freestone (82'), Long (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
1-1
Carlisle
Hussey (56')
Kayode (33')
Hayden (73'), Mellish (87'), Anderton (90+4')
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
1-2
Cheltenham
Mellish (45+3')
Boyle (15'), Thomas (36' pen.)
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Carlisle
0-1
Cheltenham

Jones (46')
Reid (26')
Broom (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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