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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Grimsby Town

Carlisle
2 - 3
Grimsby Town

Lavelle (12'), Sadi (27')
Vela (55'), Sadi (58'), Barclay (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barrington (24'), Cass (81'), Rodgers (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
36.96% (0.143 0.14) 26.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 36.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.89% (0.105 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (0.135 0.13)50.61% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (0.119 0.12)72.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.146 0.15)26.58% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (0.192 0.19)61.8% (-0.188 -0.19)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.18%61.82% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.96%
    Grimsby Town 36.93%
    Draw 26.1%
Carlisle UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.93%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-0
Grimsby Town
McCalmont (36'), Gibson (44')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Grimsby Town
1-2
Carlisle
Efete (65')
Moxon (7'), Dennis (44')
> Preview
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
1-1
Grimsby Town
Zanzala (90+3')
Hayden (31')
John-Lewis (16')
Coke (55')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Grimsby Town
1-1
Carlisle
Pollock (24')
Taylor (37'), Waterfall (76'), Starbuck (82'), Pollock (90+3')
McKeown (46' og.)
Anderton (18')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 38
Grimsby Town
P-P
Carlisle
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236
> League Two Full Table


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