

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow | 
| 31.26% (  -0.02) | 26.17% (  -0) | 42.57% (  0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 52.5% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.13% (  0) | 51.86% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.38% (  0) | 73.62% (  -0) | 
| Grimsby Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.23% (  -0.01) | 30.77% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.96% (  -0.01) | 67.04% (  0.01) | 
| Barrow Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.84% (  0.01) | 24.16% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.52% (  0.02) | 58.48% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow | 
| 1-0 @ 8.76% (  -0) 2-1 @ 7.33% (  -0) 2-0 @ 5.16% (  -0) 3-1 @ 2.88% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.05% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.03% (  -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.43% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 10.56% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% (  0) 0-2 @ 7.5% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.19% (  0) 0-3 @ 3.55% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.47% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.49% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.26% (  0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.57% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 | 
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 | 
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 | 
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 | 
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 | 
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 | 
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 | 
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 | 
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 | 
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 | 
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 | 
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 | 
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 | 
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 | 
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 | 
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 | 
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 | 
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 | 
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 | 
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 | 
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 | 
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
